Will a sitting US Supreme Court justice resign or die in office before 2027?
PolitikaOne-OffABD Siyaseti2ay
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 86.7%
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21
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
20 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis21 Tem 26 02:22 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
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FutuurKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if any sitting justice of the Supreme Court of the United States dies or officially vacates their seat (via retirement or resignation) on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Eastern Time (ET).
- The market will resolve to NO if all nine current sitting justices remain in active office through the end of 2026.
- Key Definitions and Rules:
- Sitting Justices: The current nine justices are John Roberts, Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, Sonia Sotomayor, Elena Kagan, Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh, Amy Coney Barrett, and Ketanji Brown Jackson.
- Resignation / Retirement: A justice must formally vacate their seat on or before the deadline.
