Güncel topluluk tahmini
Harald Malmgren 100%31 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
14
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
2 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis20 Eki 25 09:35 UTC1 Oca 30 10:23 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Which American public figures will serve jail time before 2030? [unlinked, add responses]
Manifold MarketsWhich celebrities/public figures will serve prison time as a result of evidence from either Epstein or Diddy files?
Manifold MarketsWhich public figures will outlive @Orangey?
Manifold MarketsWhich of the following public figures will transition before 2027
Manifold MarketsUS government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
PolymarketUS Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
This is a place to track which public figures have assigned academic credence to the possibility that aliens/UAP are real and have been covertly studied for decades.
- Will resolve "yes" as individuals express publicly that there is sufficient evidence to suggest a secret program.
- Will resolve "no" when either (1) individuals die or (2) a secret program is demonstrably proven nonexistent.
- Really though, it's a place to keep track of which scientists are open to the UAP topic and bet on when they will reach that point in their scientific inquiry.
