Which party will win the popular vote in New Mexico in the 2028 presidential election?
13.6 puan (24s)PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçimLatin Amerika2y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiDemocratic Party 91.2%+13.6pt3 seçenek arasında lider
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1
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multiple choice
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Tahmin
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+13.6 pts
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12 dakika önce güncellendi
6 Kas 26 00:54 UTC8 Kas 28 12:00 UTC
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KalshiThird-party share of the 2028 presidential popular vote?
KalshiKurallar
Resolves to the party of the presidential ticket with the most votes in New Mexico in the November 7, 2028 election, per New Mexico's certified result.
- Only the vote count matters: how New Mexico awards its electoral votes, including under a national popular vote compact, doesn't.
- Only the party matters: a ticket on the Democratic or Republican line counts as that party even if also listed on other parties' lines.
- Any other ticket resolves to Other, or to its own answer if one has been added.
- Resolves on the certified result, or earlier once the AP has called it and no recount could change it.
- N/A if New Mexico holds no popular vote for President.
