KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
6 Kas 2026 13:48 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Seçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Wisconsin · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
—
Kayıtlı fiyat
Wisconsin 51.5%5 seçenek arasında lider
Wisconsin 51.5%Piyasa kalitesi
48 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺207,7 B
Açık pozisyon
$4 B
Orta açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
— / —
WisconsinSpread
—
Piyasa verileri
2 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis5 Kas 26 03:00 UTC7 Kas 28 04:59 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Wisconsin
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
—
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
If the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact comes into effect before 2029, will the Supreme Court block it?
Manifold MarketsWill the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact be in effect for the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsHow much progress will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact make by the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill the National Popular Vote compact reach 270 electoral votes?
KalshiWhich party will win the national popular vote in the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact go into effect by July 2028?
PredictItKurallar
If legislation joining the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact is enacted in Wisconsin before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness The following do NOT constitute enactment: Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges. The effective date of the law is not relevant; only that it has been enacted. A state counts once its law joining the compact is enacted, even though the compact takes effect only when member states hold at least 270 electoral votes.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Wisconsin
- If legislation joining the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact is enacted in Wisconsin before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Michigan
- If legislation joining the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact is enacted in Michigan before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nevada
- If legislation joining the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact is enacted in Nevada before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Arizona
- If legislation joining the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact is enacted in Arizona before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pennsylvania
- If legislation joining the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact is enacted in Pennsylvania before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
