Which AI model series will reach the highest version number by 12/31/2026?
10.1 puan (24s)YZYearly3ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiGPT (OpenAI) 78.3%+10.1pt5 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
5
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+11.3 pts
Piyasa verileri
9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis21 Kas 25 2:0231 Ara 26 23:59
Trendler
Kurallar
Resolves to whoever releases a model with the highest version number in the name, including sub-versions, by the end of 2026.
- Doesn’t count if someone releases a model with a number that isn’t a version number. “Grok 69” would not count. “GPT-6-preview” would count.
- The model must be publicly accessible.
- If there’s a tie, resolves evenly split among tied companies.
- Update 2025-11-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Version number comparison: If there is ambiguity in comparing version numbers (e.g., 5.9 vs 5.11), the creator will ask each model how to resolve the market and resolve to the average of their opinions.
Sık sorulan sorular
- Which AI model series will reach the highest version number by 12/31/2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 3 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla GPT (OpenAI) için 78% fiyatlıyor.
- Which AI model series will reach the highest version number by 12/31/2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Which AI model series will reach the highest version number by 12/31/2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Which AI model series will reach the highest version number by 12/31/2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves to whoever releases a model with the highest version number in the name, including sub-versions, by the end of 2026.
