Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
23 Eki 2026 18:20 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahminixAI 30.8%6 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
14
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
6 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis14 Tem 25 09:47 UTC1 Oca 50 09:58 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
This market resolves to the first entity that officially announces they have created artificial general intelligence (AGI).
- Resolution Criteria:
- Resolution is based on official press releases or credible news reports of the announcement
- The entity does not need to have actually achieved AGI (as judged by Manifold) - only the announcement matters
- The announcement must be made with genuine intent (as judged by Manifold).
- Publicity stunts or trolling will not count
