Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEstonia 18.1%12 seçenek arasında lider
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Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
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PolymarketKurallar
An invasion involves forceful entry of ground troops into an occupied and defended territory.
- Disputes over unoccupied islands, fishing or deep-sea mining rights, etc. don't count.
- Bombing, drones, saboteurs, assassins don't count.
- If the Danish were to trade Greenland to Russia to keep the the named outcome from taking it, that doesn't count.