Bu piyasa sonuçlandı: Anthropic (99%)
Sonuçlandı: 1 Tem 2026 00:05
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Uzlaşma kaynağı
- Geçerli sonuç
- Anthropic
- Kaydedildi
- 25 Tem 2026 08:31
- Gözlemler
- 1
- Düzeltmeler
- 0
- Yöntem
- resolution_watch
Güncel topluluk tahminiAnthropic 99%+10.2pt8 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
39
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
27 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis4 Şub 26 19:2130 Haz 26 23:59
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Google4.5%
OpenAI6.3%
xAI0.6%
Anthropic99%
Meta0.5%
Alibaba0.2%
DeepSeek0.3%
Other0.2%
99%
0.2%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Bu piyasa kapandı. Deneme işlemi yalnızca açık piyasalarda kullanılabilir.
Platformları karşılaştır· Anthropic
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Which company has best AI model end of June?
0.5 ptsKapalı
Sonuçlandı
Anthropic (100%)
+0.5pt100%
0%
-0.1pt0%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
49 • Düşük kaliteDar spreadDüşük likidite
Toplam Hacim₺1,1 Mr
24s Hacim₺300,8 B
POLYMARKETPolymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
0.1 ptsKapalı
Sonuçlandı
Anthropic (100%)
+77.0pt100%
-0.6pt0%
-0.1pt0%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
49 • Düşük kaliteDar spreadDüşük likidite
Toplam Hacim₺81,1 Mn
24s Hacim₺300 B
POLYMARKETKurallar
Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category, without style control or show deprecated, at the end of June 30th, 11:59PM ET.
- We'll follow polymarket's tiebreak rule:
- If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-hnNnI6lALy
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-LIC6U8LQ9R
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-0PE9Utg8Qg
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
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Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category, without style control or show deprecated, at the end of June 30th, 11:59PM ET.
- We'll follow polymarket's tiebreak rule:
- If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-hnNnI6lALy
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-LIC6U8LQ9R
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-0PE9Utg8Qg