Which company has best AI model end of July 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
YZManifold MarketsKapalıKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: Google (96.8%)
Sonuçlandı: 1 Ağu 2025 02:25
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Güncel topluluk tahminiGoogle 96.8%9 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
193
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
197 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 May 25 4:4031 Tem 25 23:59
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
OpenAI3%
xAI0%
Anthropic0%
Google96.8%
Meta0%
Alibaba0%
DeepSeek0%
Moonshot0.1%
Other0.1%
96.8%
3%
0.1%
0.1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Kurallar
Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category without filters (without style control or show deprecated), at the end of July 31st, 2025 11:59PM ET.
- In the case of a tie, all companies tied for 1st place resolve to equal probability, such that they sum to 100%.
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-I0QsydsZuz
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-0CRdhqptRl
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-uIgZPlOt5d
Açık piyasalar
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt92%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺73,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺14,3 Mn
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $72,500 or above97.5%
- $73,000 or above97.5%
- $73,500 or above97%
+36 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺8,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺7,3 Mn
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- October 31,+8.5pt82%
- October 15,-3.5pt50%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-0.9pt97%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.0pt95%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.6pt68.6%
- Grok-2.1pt10.5%
- ChatGPT-2.8pt9.5%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺440,6 Mn
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BMW Championship Winner
- XRP price on August 21
- XRP price on August 31
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Which company has best AI model end of July 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard) için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 4 Şubat 2026 itibarıyla Google için 97% fiyatlıyor.
- Which company has best AI model end of July 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard) ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Which company has best AI model end of July 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard) için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Temmuz 2025.
- Which company has best AI model end of July 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard) nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category without filters (without style control or show deprecated), at the end of July 31st, 2025 11:59PM ET.