Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Mox Opal 9.7%4 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
16
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
6 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis17 Ara 24 00:00 UTC17 Ara 26 07:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Netherlands raises standard naturalization residency requirement to ≥10 years by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Trump Class Battleship be built or will the US Navy determine it is wasteful and unnecessary for modern warfare
Manifold MarketsWill any of the Magic: The Gathering "culturally insensitive cards" be reprinted or unbanned by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
Four cards were just unbanned in the Magic: the Gathering format Modern today.
- These cards were formerly quite powerful, but there has been a lot of "power creep" in the format.
- Many are saying that the named outcome won't even be played, for example — but the named outcome wasn't expected to be unbanned, and could still be broken.
- SaffronOlive asks on Twitter what odds people think of a reban, and gives these:
- [image]Resolves based on official Wizards of the Coast ban announcements.
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
Açık piyasalar
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+2.0pt76%
- September 18+3.0pt72%
- September 11+6.0pt66%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺89,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺31,7 Mn
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+0.5pt75%
- New People (NL)-0.8pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.2pt3%
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+4.0pt84.2%
- Yes-4.0pt15.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺542,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺14,5 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt50.4%
- October 31-1.0pt28.7%
- September 30-1.0pt12.2%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-5.0pt29%
- Before Jan 1, 202826%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt10%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺391,8 Mn
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Which cards will be re-banned in Modern within two years (before Dec. 16, 2026)? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 10 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Mox Opal için 10% fiyatlıyor.
- Which cards will be re-banned in Modern within two years (before Dec. 16, 2026)? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Which cards will be re-banned in Modern within two years (before Dec. 16, 2026)? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 17 Aralık 2026.
- Which cards will be re-banned in Modern within two years (before Dec. 16, 2026)? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Four cards were just unbanned in the Magic: the Gathering format Modern today.