Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Before 2028-07-01 70.9%8 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
188
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
5 dakika önce güncellendi
8 Haz 24 21:11 UTC16 Oca 27 07:59 UTC
Trendler
0%
0%
0%
0%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?
FutuurIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
Polymarket[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
The full-scale war in Ukraine started on 2022-02-24.
- As of June 2024 there haven’t been any ceasefire agreements covering the whole theater of war.
- This market will resolve positively as soon as a Russian-Ukrainian ceasefire is established, lasting for at least a month and covering the whole territory of Ukraine and Russia.
- Minor confrontations that don’t lead to an escalation do not count as breaking the ceasefire.
- The market is also resolved positively if one of the following happens:
- Ukraine is fully conquered by Russia (or vice vera)
Açık piyasalar
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 3074%
- September 18+1.0pt68%
- September 1161%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺63,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺18,6 Mn
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+5.0pt80.2%
- Yes-5.0pt19.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺530,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺17,5 Mn
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+0.5pt74%
- New People (NL)-0.6pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.2pt3%
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+6.3pt50%
- October 31+1.0pt27.9%
- September 30+1.5pt12.3%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-4.0pt31%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-2.0pt22%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-2.0pt9%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- When will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Before 2028-07-01 için 71% fiyatlıyor.
- When will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- When will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 16 Ocak 2027.
- When will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: The full-scale war in Ukraine started on 2022-02-24.