Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Before 2030-01-01 75.4%11 seçenek arasında lider
Before 2030-01-01 75.4%Tahminciler
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2 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis8 Haz 24 21:11 UTC16 Oca 27 07:59 UTC
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If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
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FutuurRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
The full-scale war in Ukraine started on 2022-02-24.
- As of June 2024 there haven’t been any ceasefire agreements covering the whole theater of war.
- This market will resolve positively as soon as a Russian-Ukrainian ceasefire is established, lasting for at least a month and covering the whole territory of Ukraine and Russia.
- Minor confrontations that don’t lead to an escalation do not count as breaking the ceasefire.
- The market is also resolved positively if one of the following happens:
- Ukraine is fully conquered by Russia (or vice vera)