Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini2030 or later 51.8%6 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
20
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
13 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis18 May 25 08:22 UTC30 Ara 30 09:19 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will "The Winds of Winter" be released before humanity returns to the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWhen will "The Winds of Winter" (A song of Ice and Fire) by George R.R. Martin be published?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next game of thrones book by GRR Martin - "winds of winter", be released?
Manifold MarketsThe Winds of Winter: Release date announced this year?
KalshiWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
PolymarketWill Netflix Studios Fort Monmouth Phase 1B be completed before winter 2028?
KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the official release date of "The Winds of Winter," the sixth novel in George R.R. Martin's "A Song of Ice and Fire" series.
- The release date will be determined based on announcements from reputable sources such as the author's official blog, publisher statements, or major news outlets.
- The date will correspond to the first official publication of the book in any format (e.g., hardcover, paperback, e-book) in any country.
- As of May 2025, "The Winds of Winter" remains unpublished.
- George R.R. Martin has been working on the novel since at least 2010, following the release of "A Dance with Dragons" in 2011.
Açık piyasalar
EntertainmentKALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,2 Mn
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.0pt78%
- 940 - 950m-11.5pt17%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+5.0pt45%
- Callum Turner-4.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
+27 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺102,5 Mn
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+15.8pt41%
- No Bond chosen-1.1pt22%
- Jack Barton-0.9pt12%
+21 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 3093%
- Above 2569%
- Above 4041%
+14 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺3,2 Mn
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+41.0pt84%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺14,9 Mn
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- #2 US Spotify Song 2026
- Steam: Weekly Top Seller
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
Sık sorulan sorular
- When will the Winds of Winter be released için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 2030 or later için 52% fiyatlıyor.
- When will the Winds of Winter be released ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- When will the Winds of Winter be released için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 30 Aralık 2030.
- When will the Winds of Winter be released nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria