Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiBefore February 2027 96.3%5 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
16
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
7 dakika önce güncellendi
1 Eyl 26 18:13 UTC2 Şub 27 05:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Claude Fable 5.2+ (Anthropic) release date
Manifold MarketsWhat will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?
PolymarketWhat will Claude Fable 5 score on ARC-AGI-3?
Manifold MarketsWill any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of March 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsClaude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?
PolymarketKurallar
Claude Fable 5.1 released on September 1st, 2026.
- This market resolves YES when Anthropic's next Fable-class model is released to the public (e.g. Fable 5.2) This market will resolve YES even if the model's release is restricted to particular countries, as long as it is publicly available within those countries (a Glasswing situation would not count).
- If the model is not named Fable, it can still resolve YES if public statements from Anthropic indicate it is intended to be in the same line as Mythos/Fable, but new Opus/Sonnet/Haiku models would not cause this market to resolve YES, even if they were more capable then the current Fable 5 model.
- At the time of the model's release, all options that are correct will resolve YES.
- All options resolve NO if no such model is released by the end of January.
- I will resolve options as they become resolvable.
