Güncel topluluk tahmini
By end of June 2027 95.4%17 seçenek arasında lider
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59
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
5 dakika önce güncellendi
11 Mar 24 08:10 UTC1 Oca 27 12:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
When will Starship first deploy a commercial* satellite to orbit?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX attempt to deploy Starlink satellites in the first fully-orbital Starship–SuperHeavy flight?
Manifold MarketsBy when will Starship deploy a payload bigger than a Starlink?
Manifold MarketsStarlink active subscribers in Q3
KalshiSpaceX to spin off Starlink in 2026?
FutuurAST SpaceMobile BlueBird satellites in orbit above __ in Q4 2026?
LimitlessKurallar
Answers resolve YES once SpaceX confirms that a Starlink satellite (that had been launched on a Starship) has been successfully deployed to orbit
- Otherwise, answers will resolve NO as their dates are reached (or may resolve NO early if sufficiently certain)
- Resolves based on the time of deployment, not the time of launch
- Any type of Starlink satellite counts as long as Starlink is in the name (eg Starshield would not count despite being a close derivative)
- Additionally, the Starlink satellite must be technically capable of functioning (i.e. starlink mass simulators or dummy starlinks wouldn't count), though whether the satellite actually functions successfully or not once in orbit is irrelevant
- Related markets:
Sık sorulan sorular
- When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla By end of June 2027 için 95% fiyatlıyor.
- When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Answers resolve YES once SpaceX confirms that a Starlink satellite (that had been launched on a Starship) has been successfully deployed to orbit
