Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiOther 44.3%8 seçenek arasında lider
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12
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
11 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis5 Kas 25 21:57 UTC5 Kas 26 21:56 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsSam Altman still CEO of OpenAI through the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Elon Musk cease to be CEO of Tesla before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsSam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?
KalshiTop AI model in September?
KalshiKurallar
Simple renaming: A straightforward renaming of the organization will count as OpenAI.
- Mild restructure with renaming: If the rebranding is accompanied by only a mild restructuring, it almost certainly counts as OpenAI.
- Large restructure: If the organization undergoes a significant restructure that leads to substantial or widespread disagreement about what constitutes "OpenAI," this could cause the market to resolve as NO even if Sam Altman remains CEO.
- Temporary Leave doesn't count.
- Only permanent exit from the CEO position counts.
Açık piyasalar
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-13.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-high+1.0pt5%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺7,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,8 Mn
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+20.0pt63.5%
- 2027-3.5pt26.1%
- 2026+5.5pt10.4%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-0.5pt86%
- November 30,85%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude61.8%
- ChatGPT-4.9pt22.6%
- Grok+1.5pt7.8%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺511,4 Mn
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+4.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-3.0pt12%
- Grok2.8%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺18,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-3.0pt67%
- 1490+-5.5pt50%
- 1500+-10.0pt23%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Sık sorulan sorular
- When will Sam Altman cease to be the CEO of OpenAI? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Other için 44% fiyatlıyor.
- When will Sam Altman cease to be the CEO of OpenAI? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- When will Sam Altman cease to be the CEO of OpenAI? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 5 Kasım 2026.
- When will Sam Altman cease to be the CEO of OpenAI? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Simple renaming: A straightforward renaming of the organization will count as OpenAI.