When will Israel next strike Iranian territory? (window closes Nov 30, 2026)
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Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiNo strike before December 1, 2026 41.5%4 seçenek arasında lider
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Guncelligini yitirmis21 Eki 26 07:52 UTC30 Kas 26 23:59 UTC
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When will Israel next strike Iranian territory? The window opens when this market is created and ends on November 30, 2026 at 23:59 UTC.
- What counts as a strike: an Israeli military attack (aircraft, missile, drone or special forces) that hits a target inside Iran's internationally recognized territory.
- That covers Iranian land, territorial waters and airspace (for example, shooting down an aircraft over Iran).
- Joint US–Israeli strikes count.
- All of the following count only if the Israeli government or IDF officially acknowledges the strike, or at least two of Reuters, AP and BBC attribute it to Israel:
- covert sabotage
