Güncel topluluk tahmini
He will not become president at all (as of the 2032 election.) 60.9%4 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
65
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
13 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis13 Kas 24 04:29 UTC1 Oca 33 05:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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PolymarketKurallar
Update 2025-12-01 (PST): - The question refers to the first time JD Vance becomes president.
- (AI summary of creator comment)
- Update 2025-11-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If JD Vance is elected president but does not take office for any reason, the market will resolve to "He will not become president at all (as of the 2032 election)."
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39,1 Mn
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.8pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
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- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.2pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt14.1%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,3 Mr
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- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
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Sık sorulan sorular
- When, if at all, will JD Vance become president? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla He will not become president at all (as of the 2032 election.) için 61% fiyatlıyor.
- When, if at all, will JD Vance become president? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- When, if at all, will JD Vance become president? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2033.
- When, if at all, will JD Vance become president? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Update 2025-12-01 (PST): - The question refers to the first time JD Vance becomes president.