Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
As of tweet time Hanson was 50%+ on ems before 2100 95.2%7 seçenek arasında lider
As of tweet time Hanson was 50%+ on ems before 2100 95.2%Tahminciler
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Play-money forecasting platform
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8 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis11 Ağu 24 01:23 UTC31 Ara 30 22:59 UTC
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@RobinHanson recently tweeted
- > I have heard reports that I can’t make public updating me to guess ems are more likely to arrive first, before full cheap human level AGI.
- What did Hanson see? I will resolve Yes/No when something becomes pretty clear to me, might resolve N/A to not lock up mana.
