What will the dominant microblogging platform be at the end of 2028 (X, Threads, Bluesky, etc) ? [ READ DESCRIPTION ]
One-OffTeknoloji2yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiX / Twitter 35.5%7 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
23
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
12 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis10 Ağu 23 03:49 UTC2 Haz 29 03:59 UTC
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KalshiKurallar
Dominance is defined by my best judgement of MAU's , or the best available metric.
- Note that the market will resolve to an ESTIMATED MARKET SHARE.
- In other words, it is NOT winner-take-all.
- Ie if X has 55% dominance, I want X to resolve to 55%.
- Friends have told me this is possible.
- If I find it is NOT possible to partially resolve a free response market, I will resolve it N/A.