What will John Fetterman’s official party affiliation and caucus situation be on 1 July 2027?
PolitikaOne-OffABD Siyaseti8ay
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiDemocrat 71%5 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
4
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+16.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
13 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis23 Eki 26 08:37 UTC1 Tem 27 00:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the single option that accurately reflects John Fetterman's official party registration/affiliation and formal caucus membership in the United States Senate as of 11:59 PM ET on July 1, 2027.
- Democrat: Resolves to YES if Fetterman is officially registered as a Democrat and formally caucuses with the Senate Democratic Caucus.
- the named outcome: Resolves to YES if Fetterman is registered as an Independent, unaffiliated, or with a third party, and formally organizes/caucuses with the Senate Democratic Caucus.
- the named outcome: Resolves to YES if Fetterman is registered as an Independent, unaffiliated, or with a third party, and formally organizes/caucuses with the Senate Republican Conference.
- Republican: Resolves to YES if Fetterman is officially registered as a Republican and formally caucuses with the Senate Republican Conference.