Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
26 Eki 2026 02:30 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahminiDemocrat 78.5%3 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
17
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
1 dakika önce güncellendi
27 Şub 26 23:51 UTC2 Oca 28 00:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
What will John Fetterman’s official party affiliation and caucus situation be on 1 July 2027?
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KalshiKurallar
This market resolves to a single winning option based on John Fetterman's official voter registration or his officially declared U.S. Senate party affiliation at 12:00 PM (Noon) ET on January 1, 2028.
- Resolves via official U.S. Senate roster records or verified major news reporting of his PA voter registration.
- This market is strictly about his registration label.
- If he registers as an Independent but continues to caucus with the Democrats, it resolves to the named outcome.
- The "the named outcome" option triggers if he registers as Unaffiliated, Independent, or with any third party (e.g., Forward, Libertarian, Green).
