Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiDoesn't pass in Senate 30%+15.7pt7 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
15
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+15.7 pts
Piyasa verileri
11 dakika önce güncellendi
3 Eyl 26 16:5331 Ara 27 23:59
Trendler
Kurallar
Bernie (& Greg Casar) just announced the intention to introduce a bill that would ban the development of ASI. https://www.sanders.senate.gov/press-releases/news-sanders-casar-introduce-legislation-to-ban-artificial-superintelligence-and-temporarily-pause-advanced-ai-development/
- Clarifications:
- I mean specifically a bill introduced by these two people, with very similar aims as that released in the summary: https://www.sanders.senate.gov/wp-content/uploads/Ban-Artificial-Superintelligence-Act-Release-Summary.pdf
- If there is a clear answer before Dec 31 2027, I will resolve then
- If this exact bill fails, but a very similar one draws inspiration, I will reoslve based on the original bill
- For this market, I care only about the bill's continuity as defined by its tracking number.
Açık piyasalar
Politics
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- Jon Ossoff16%
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+48 daha fazla sonuç
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+16 daha fazla sonuç
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- Marine Le Pen-0.3pt36.1%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt30.9%
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+38 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.7pt24%
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- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff15.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt13.9%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt60%
- October 31-1.0pt36%
- September 30-2.0pt17%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- North Carolina Senate winner?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
Sık sorulan sorular
- What will happen to Bernie's Proposed "Ban ASI" Bill? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 4 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Doesn't pass in Senate için 30% fiyatlıyor.
- What will happen to Bernie's Proposed "Ban ASI" Bill? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- What will happen to Bernie's Proposed "Ban ASI" Bill? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2027.
- What will happen to Bernie's Proposed "Ban ASI" Bill? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Bernie (& Greg Casar) just announced the intention to introduce a bill that would ban the development of ASI. https://www.sanders.senate.gov/press-releases/news-sanders-casar-introduce-legislation-to-ban-artificial-superintelligence-and-temporarily-pause-advanced-ai-development/