Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiContains egregious, easily verified falsehoods 99%32 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
90
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
14 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 Eki 25 18:07 UTC1 Oca 30 18:30 UTC
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PolymarketKurallar
After years of criticizing Wikipedia for what he perceives as left-wing bias, Elon Musk announced the development of "Grokipedia", which he believes will be a "massive improvement" over the existing site.
- How do you think this will turn out? Add your own predictions!
- Note: "release" means when the full-version is out, not beta or early-access.
- The V0.1 which released on October 27 does not count.
- A future release labelled "V1.0" would count.
Açık piyasalar
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
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POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
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- November 30,85%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
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+5 daha fazla sonuç
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- Claude+4.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-3.0pt12%
- Grok2.8%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
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- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
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+2 daha fazla sonuç
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Sık sorulan sorular
- What will be true about Grokipedia upon *full* release? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Contains egregious, easily verified falsehoods için 99% fiyatlıyor.
- What will be true about Grokipedia upon *full* release? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- What will be true about Grokipedia upon *full* release? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2030.
- What will be true about Grokipedia upon *full* release? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: After years of criticizing Wikipedia for what he perceives as left-wing bias, Elon Musk announced the development of "Grokipedia", which he believes will be a "massive improvement" over the existing site.