What will be the outcome of Annie Altman’s lawsuit against Sam Altman? (Altman v. Altman)
One-OffSuç ve AdaletManifold MarketsKapalıKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: Dismissal (70.9%)
Sonuçlandı: 20 Eki 2026 15:11
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
21 Eki 2026 04:35 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Judgment in favor of plaintiff7.5%
Judgment in favor of defendant20.6%
Dismissal70.9%
Other1.1%
Kazandı
Kaybetti
Kaybetti
Kaybetti
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/QDczBduZorG4dxZiW/sam-altman-s-sister-annie-altman-claims-sam-has-severely https://x.com/sama/status/1876780763653263770
- https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/69520118/altman-v-altman/
- My understanding is that the three options I have added cover all possible outcomes; I will add more if and only if I learn that this is not the case.
