What will be the dominant unit of economic power used by humans in 2040?
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Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
US Dollar (USD)* 65.1%16 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
85
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
10 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis4 Kas 24 16:21 UTC1 Oca 40 22:59 UTC
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*Includes descendants/forks
- Resolution Criteria:
- This question will be resolved based on the state of the global human economy on January 1st, 2040.
- The dominant unit will be determined by the total value of economic transactions denominated in the unit during the calendar year 2039, as measured by the most widely accepted economic metrics available in 2040.
- This includes all forms of trade, exchange, and value transfer involving at least one human party.
- If the dominant unit is pegged to another listed option (e.g., if a currency is backed by or formally pegged to gold, computation, energy, etc.), both the primary unit and its peg resolve as 'Yes.'