What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?
One-OffPolitikaUS PoliticsSeçim3ay
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiDemocratic House and Senate 42.4%-0.3%5 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
99
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
7 saat önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis15 Kas 24 22:374 Kas 26 5:59
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Democratic House and Senate42%
Platformları karşılaştır· Democratic House, Republican Senate
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiGenel en iyi%85 eşleşme · doğrulandı | Yüksek | 46% | — | ₺3 Mn | ₺240,3 Mn | 3 dakika önce | Aç → |
 Polymarket%88 eşleşme · doğrulandı | Yüksek | 44% | — | ₺706,1 B | ₺44,4 Mn | 10 dakika önce | Aç → |
| Manifold Markets%82 eşleşme · bağlantılı | — | 44% | — | — | — | 1 saat önce | Aç → |
| Manifold MarketsBu sayfa | — | 44% | — | — | — | 7 saat önce | |
 PredictIt%92 eşleşme · doğrulandı | — | 41% | — | — | — | 2 dakika önce | Aç → |
PredictIt üzerinde de mevcut
What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election?
41%
38%
23%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITPolymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
1.0%3ay
44%
41%
+1.0%14%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
89 • Yüksek kaliteOrta spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim₺401,4 Mn
24s Hacim₺706,1 B
POLYMARKETKalshi üzerinde de mevcut
2026 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
3.0%6ay
+3.0%46%
-1.0%37%
18%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
100 • Yüksek kaliteDar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim₺375,6 Mn
24s Hacim₺3 Mn
KALSHIManifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut
Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?
3ay
-0.3%42.4%
+0.1%12.1%
0.8%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
Topluluk tahmini128 tahminciTür: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSKurallar
Resolves to whichever party's caucuses are elected to majorities in the U.S.
- House of Representatives and Senate in the 2026 midterm elections.
- A majority in the House is defined as having more than half of the voting Representatives, and a majority in the Senate is defined as having more than half of the Senators, or exactly half and the vice president.
- Independents or members of third parties who caucus with another party are considered part of that party for the sake of determining the majority.
- Following the 2024 election, there are two such independents remaining in the Senate, both of whom caucus with the Democrats.
- Independents or third party members who do not caucus with either major party will not be considered a part of either party - thus it is in theory possible that neither party could have the majority in one of the chambers.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Hacim trendi
$1610 Tem3g veri12 Tem
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Resolves to whichever party's caucuses are elected to majorities in the U.S.
- House of Representatives and Senate in the 2026 midterm elections.
- A majority in the House is defined as having more than half of the voting Representatives, and a majority in the Senate is defined as having more than half of the Senators, or exactly half and the vice president.
- Independents or members of third parties who caucus with another party are considered part of that party for the sake of determining the majority.
- Following the 2024 election, there are two such independents remaining in the Senate, both of whom caucus with the Democrats.
- Independents or third party members who do not caucus with either major party will not be considered a part of either party - thus it is in theory possible that neither party could have the majority in one of the chambers.