How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms?
PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçim2026 ABD Ara Seçimleri2ay
KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
26 Eki 2026 13:00 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Seçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
At least 1 · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
At least 1 34.5%4 seçenek arasında lider
At least 1 34.5%Piyasa kalitesi
20 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Açık pozisyon
$1,4 B
Düşük açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
— / —
At least 1Spread
—
Piyasa verileri
2 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis12 Ağu 26 16:00 UTC3 Oca 27 14:59 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · At least 1
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kurallar
If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is at least 1 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:state governments
- A candidate is considered unaffiliated with a political party if the relevant election authority identifies the candidate as Independent, Nonpartisan, No Party Preference, No Party Affiliation, Unaffiliated, by petition without a party designation, or an equivalent no-party designation. Candidates identified with a political party do not count. Endorsements and post-election caucus affiliation do not affect the count.
Her sonucun kuralı
- At least 1
- If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is at least 1 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2
- If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is at least 2 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3
- If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is at least 3 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 4
- If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is at least 4 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
