How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms?
PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçim2026 ABD Ara Seçimleri2ay
KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
At least 1 · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
—
Kayıtlı fiyat
At least 1 34.5%4 seçenek arasında lider
At least 1 34.5%Piyasa kalitesi
26 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Açık pozisyon
$1,4 B
Düşük açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
— / —
At least 1Spread
—
Piyasa verileri
46 dakika önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli12 Ağu 26 16:00 UTC3 Oca 27 14:59 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · At least 1
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
—
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
How many Independents will be elected to Congress?
PolymarketWho controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Neal Dunn leave Congress before the midterms?
KalshiWhat will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Saikat Chakrabarti be elected to Congress in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any of Donald Trump's children be elected to Congress, Vice President, or President of the US by 2050?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is at least 1 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:state governments
- A candidate is considered unaffiliated with a political party if the relevant election authority identifies the candidate as Independent, Nonpartisan, No Party Preference, No Party Affiliation, Unaffiliated, by petition without a party designation, or an equivalent no-party designation. Candidates identified with a political party do not count. Endorsements and post-election caucus affiliation do not affect the count.
Her sonucun kuralı
- At least 1
- If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is at least 1 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2
- If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is at least 2 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3
- If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is at least 3 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 4
- If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is at least 4 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.