What are the probabilities of these AI outcomes (X-risk, dystopias, utopias, in-between outcomes, status quo outcomes)?
YZ
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
A. Death by paperclips, eternal torment of all humans by AI, or similar unalignment catastrophe. 38.6%9 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
63
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
11 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis25 Mar 23 10:00 UTC1 Oca 01 04:59 UTC
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Buy/sell these outcomes to the probabilities you consider appropriate.
- Mar 25, 6:05am: What are the probabilities of these AI outcomes? → What are the probabilities of these AI outcomes (X-risk, dystopias, utopias, in-between outcomes, status quo outcomes)?