U.S. tests/uses nuclear weapon during Trump's presidency? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 27 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla No için 88.9% fiyatlıyor.

U.S. tests/uses nuclear weapon during Trump's presidency? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

U.S. tests/uses nuclear weapon during Trump's presidency? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 20 Ocak 2029.

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3 Kas 25 23:51 UTC20 Oca 29 11:59 UTC

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This market resolves YES if, at any point during Donald Trump’s current presidency, the United States tests or uses a nuclear weapon.

“Test” means any nuclear detonation — underground, atmospheric, or subcritical — officially conducted or authorized by the U.S. government for research, maintenance, or demonstration purposes.
“Use” means the detonation of a nuclear weapon in military action or combat.
The market resolves NO if Trump’s presidency ends without either event occurring.
Sources: Resolution will be based on official U.S. government statements (e.g. Department of Defense (“War”), Department of Energy, or the White House) or confirmation by major media outlets such as Reuters, AP, BBC, or The New York Times.