US govt owns >=5% equity in OpenAI, Anthropic, Alphabet or Meta or xAI by 2026?
YZOne-OffUS PoliticsTeknoloji3ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 92.9%
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Guncelligini yitirmis25 Ağu 25 21:10 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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KalshiKurallar
Inspired by: https://caithrin.substack.com/p/10-ownership-of-intel-should-worry
- I'm not entirely sure how to resolve complex mechanisms of ownership - I wouldn't count eg: the govt as an LP to a fund owning this share.
- Ask a question, or suggest a mechanism if you're unsure of resolution.
- This would definitely resolve YES if an Intel-style equity-for-subsidy deal happens leading to the federal govt owning >5%.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- US govt owns >=5% equity in OpenAI, Anthropic, Alphabet or Meta or xAI by 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 93% fiyatlıyor.
- US govt owns >=5% equity in OpenAI, Anthropic, Alphabet or Meta or xAI by 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- US govt owns >=5% equity in OpenAI, Anthropic, Alphabet or Meta or xAI by 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- US govt owns >=5% equity in OpenAI, Anthropic, Alphabet or Meta or xAI by 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Inspired by: https://caithrin.substack.com/p/10-ownership-of-intel-should-worry