US government nationalizes OpenAI or Anthropic before 2029? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 30 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla No için 81.6% fiyatlıyor.

US government nationalizes OpenAI or Anthropic before 2029? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

US government nationalizes OpenAI or Anthropic before 2029? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2028.

YZOne-Off2y

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Hayır 81.6%

Tahminciler

Soru türü

binary

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

14 saat önce güncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

20 Tem 26 15:53 UTC31 Ara 28 23:59 UTC

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Kurallar

Resolves YES iff the US government nationalizes either OpenAI or Anthropic (or both) by 11:59pm December 31st 2028.

'Nationalize' means either the US government owns >50% of the firm's equity with voting rights (by whatever means) or USG takes over operations at the firm using some power like eminent domain or exercising the Defense Production Act.
Update 2026-07-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A US Sovereign Wealth Fund owning >50% of voting equity in OpenAI or Anthropic would count as US government ownership for the purposes of this market.