Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
25 Eki 2026 20:50 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahminiHayır 82%
Tahminciler
8
Soru türü
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
10 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis16 Nis 25 19:11 UTC31 Ara 28 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
If a US citizen is deported before 2029, will they be returned to the US before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump succeed in revoking the citizenship of any birthright US citizen?
Manifold MarketsWill I (an 18-year-old male US citizen) be drafted into the US military before Jan 1, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill any male US Citizen be convicted of a sex crime related to the Jeffrey Epstein investigation?
Manifold MarketsTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketWho will be arrested in 2026?
KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before December 31, 2028, at least one U.S. citizen is confirmed to have been detained in El Salvador's Terrorism Confinement Center (CECOT).
- The person must have been a citizen at the time that they were detained; if they lost their citizenship then it does not count.
- The confirmation must come from credible news sources or official government statements.
- If no such detention is confirmed by the end of 2028, the market will resolve to "No."
- The Terrorism Confinement Center (CECOT) is a maximum-security prison in Tecoluca, El Salvador, inaugurated in January 2023.