Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 94%
Tahminciler
26
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
29 dakika önce güncellendi
29 Ara 25 20:52 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
If Ukraine holds an election while the Russian invasion of Ukraine is ongoing, who will win?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Volodymyr Zelenskyy announce national elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump ever visit Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be re-elected as President of Ukraine before 2028
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolution criteria
- Ukrainian law bans presidential, parliamentary, and local elections under martial law.
- This market resolves YES if Ukraine holds any national elections (presidential or parliamentary) at any point during 2026.
- It resolves NO if no national elections are held during 2026.
- Martial law has been extended in 90-day intervals since the full-scale invasion with parliament's approval, and has most recently (as of November 2025) been extended for the 17th time until 3 February 2026.
- All political parties represented in the Verkhovna Rada signed a document in which they agreed to postpone holding any national election until after the end of martial law and agreed to work on a special law that would regulate the first post-war election, which would take place no earlier than six months after the cancellation of martial law.
