Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 77.4%
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4
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Play-money forecasting platform
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12 dakika önce güncellendi
22 Eyl 26 14:32 UTC28 Eki 26 12:00 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
UK Autumn Budget 2026: will the 'mansion tax' threshold be set below £2 million?
Manifold MarketsUK Autumn Budget 2026: will any main capital gains tax rate rise?
Manifold MarketsUK Autumn Budget 2026: will NICs be extended to rental, investment or pension income?
Manifold MarketsUK Autumn Budget 2026: will 0% VAT on home electricity be extended past March 2027?
Manifold MarketsCPI in September
KalshiCore inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
KalshiKurallar
YES if the Budget announces a cash cut to any working-age benefit rate, or an April 2027 uprating below September 2026 CPI for any working-age benefit.
- Changes to eligibility or assessments alone resolve NO.
- Resolves YES if the measure is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech on 28 October 2026 or appears in the Budget documents HM Treasury publishes that day (the Budget document, the policy decisions table, the policy costings, or the Overview of Tax Legislation and Rates).
- A measure announced earlier counts if those documents confirm it.
- A consultation, review or call for evidence alone resolves NO.
- This market closes at 12:00 UTC on Budget day, 30 minutes before the speech is due to begin, because measures resolve as the Chancellor announces them.
