Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 90.3%
Tahminciler
47
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
13 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis8 Oca 25 12:14 UTC2 Şub 29 07:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Republicans lawmakers try to repeal the current presidential term limit before the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Louisiana Amendment 4 (lifetime term limit for governor) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill the position of Prime Minister of Hungary have a term limit before April 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a term limit be placed on the US House before 2030?
Manifold MarketsTerm limit for US Supreme Court justices enacted in 2026?
FutuurWill Alabama Amendment 4 (weekly national anthem in public schools) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This is about whether Trump succeeds in breaking the two term presidential term limit, either by being a candidate in 2028, or not giving up power after the 2024 term is up
- NOT breaking the limit looks like: two or more candidates, not including Trump, run in 2028 and then in 2029 the winner is in power and Trump leaves the White House.
- Or Trump leaves office early for any reason such as health, political loss or prosecution or flight.
- Even if he is overseas claiming to be the rightful president, if he's gone and not in control of the levers of power then NO
- If Trump tries a bunch of YES like things but doesn't succeed and both the election happens as usual and Trump loses power at inauguration, then this can still NO.
- Its about whether he succeeds at going against the traditional two term limit.
