Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminix ≥ 250 100%19 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
54
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+0.9 pts
Piyasa verileri
4 dakika önce güncellendi
28 Ara 25 13:01 UTC31 Oca 27 12:42 UTC
Trendler
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
99.9%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
KalshiWill AI impersonation on social media cause a minimum of $50M+ in reported US corporate losses in 2026?
Manifold MarketsMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PolymarketWill the CDC report twice as many measles cases in 2026 as 2025?
Manifold MarketsMeasles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
FutuurNumber of measles deaths reported by CDC in the US in 2026?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
How many cases of measles will be reported in the US during 2026?
- If the number of cases x is equal to or greater than the number listed in an option as reported by the Johns Hopkins Measles Tracker, it will resolve to YES.
- Otherwise, the option will resolve to NO.
- The market will resolve at the end of January 2027 to allow for lag in reporting.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? · ↑3.5k 100%
- Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut — Measles cases in 2026? · Above 3000 99%
- Futuur üzerinde de mevcut — Measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · 3,000 or more 97%