Güncel topluluk tahmini
Other/None 26.8%9 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
19
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
18 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis27 Eyl 25 21:28 UTC1 Oca 31 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Prop bets: What will prediction markets do to society (add your own)
Manifold MarketsWho will be the first Manifold User to reach 10 million mana net worth (add your own)
Manifold MarketsWho will be the first public figure to confidently claim that artificial intelligences are people? (add your own)
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s “global workspace” paper (J-space) replicate by EOY2030? [prop bets; add your own]
Manifold MarketsWho is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiKurallar
Revised Resolution Criteria:
- This market will resolve after the end date of December 31, 2030.
- The resolution process will be as follows:
- Identify Failed Companies: First, a list will be compiled of all companies that have met any of the "go bust" criteria (defined below) between October 1, 2025, and December 31, 2030.
- Determine the 'Biggest': From that list, the "biggest" will be identified as the company that achieved the highest peak valuation after October 1, 2025.
- Resolution: The market will resolve to the name of that single "biggest" company listed.
