Güncel topluluk tahmini
Tesla 65.5%
Tahminciler
23
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
14 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis26 Nis 25 06:27 UTC31 Ara 26 06:38 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will any city in the UK have a self-driving taxi service by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a major city in Europe have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill California have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill New York City have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketKurallar
Tesla is planning to release self-driving taxis in June.
- Waymo has been scaling their self-driving taxi service for a while.
- This market is to predict, between Waymo and Tesla, which company will first be responsible for a vehicle that is designed to be fully autonomous (i.e. operated with no driver behind the wheel, if there even is a wheel) and is available for public use causing a major accident.
- If the vehicle has a wheel, it must be operating without user input at the time of the crash.
- A major accident must
- Be reported on in at least two major news outlets, AND