Güncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 61.7%
Tahminciler
35
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
16 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis9 Eki 25 23:07 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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KalshiKurallar
This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #7: A movie or short film produced with significant use of AI wins major audience praise and sparks backlash.
- If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.
Açık piyasalar
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+9.0pt56.9%
- 2027+3.5pt33%
- 2026+4.0pt10.1%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺12,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺9 Mn
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-5.0pt69%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max-3.0pt3%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.5pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-0.5pt84%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.1pt59.6%
- ChatGPT-0.4pt25%
- Grok+0.6pt7.7%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺512,2 Mn
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-5.5pt66%
- 1490+-5.0pt56%
- 1500+-0.5pt28%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
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Sık sorulan sorular
- SOAI#7: A movie or short film produced with significant use of AI wins major audience praise and sparks backlash için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 62% fiyatlıyor.
- SOAI#7: A movie or short film produced with significant use of AI wins major audience praise and sparks backlash ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- SOAI#7: A movie or short film produced with significant use of AI wins major audience praise and sparks backlash için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- SOAI#7: A movie or short film produced with significant use of AI wins major audience praise and sparks backlash nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #7: A movie or short film produced with significant use of AI wins major audience praise and sparks backlash.