Significant AI memory scaling axis unlocked before 2029? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 30 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 58% fiyatlıyor.

Significant AI memory scaling axis unlocked before 2029? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

Significant AI memory scaling axis unlocked before 2029? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2028.

Significant AI memory scaling axis unlocked before 2029?

YZOne-Off2y

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Evet 58%

Tahminciler

Soru türü

binary

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

17 saat önce güncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

22 Eki 25 21:06 UTC31 Ara 28 23:59 UTC

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.

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Kurallar

Resolves YES if there is strong evidence that a new axis of AI scaling has emerged involving memory before January 1st 2029.

This includes, but is not limited to, an algorithm that yields continued improvements on benchmarks as a function of inference-time memory (measured in e.g. gigabytes of RAM) across multiple orders of magnitude.
This is distinct from the model weights that are memory invariant between training and inference.
There must be evidence of a regime where this scaling occurs independent to the pretraining and inference-time compute scaling axes in order for this question to resolve YES.

Bu piyasayla ilgili veri sorunu bildir

Significant AI memory scaling axis unlocked before 2029?

YZOne-Off2y

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Evet 58%

Tahminciler

Soru türü

binary

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

17 saat önce güncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

22 Eki 25 21:06 UTC31 Ara 28 23:59 UTC

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

İlgili Piyasalar

Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2030?

Manifold Markets

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2031?

Manifold Markets

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2027?

Manifold Markets

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Polymarket

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Kalshi

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Polymarket

Kurallar

Resolves YES if there is strong evidence that a new axis of AI scaling has emerged involving memory before January 1st 2029.

This includes, but is not limited to, an algorithm that yields continued improvements on benchmarks as a function of inference-time memory (measured in e.g. gigabytes of RAM) across multiple orders of magnitude.
This is distinct from the model weights that are memory invariant between training and inference.
There must be evidence of a regime where this scaling occurs independent to the pretraining and inference-time compute scaling axes in order for this question to resolve YES.