KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
At least 1520 score 69%+3.0pt8 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
64 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺74,9 B
Likidite
₺2,5 Mn
Yüksek likiditeSpread
3.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
4 dakika önce güncellendi
26 Haz 26 20:00 UTC1 Oca 27 15:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will China restrict the open release of frontier AI models above a capability threshold by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China restrict the open release of frontier AI models above a capability threshold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiKurallar
If an AI model has a score of at least 1520 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If an AI model has a score of at least 1530 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an AI model has a score of at least 1540 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an AI model has a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an AI model has a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an AI model has a score of at least 1650 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
Açık piyasalar
AIPOLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+17.5pt88%
- 2026+36.0pt72%
- September 30, 2026+29.0pt44%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺3,1 Mn
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture+16.0pt42.3%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer+4.0pt26%
- Yang-Mills+13.7pt15.4%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+33.0pt90%
- 2026+48.0pt73%
- September 30, 2026+20.0pt34%
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-23.0pt38%
- 2027-1.0pt17%
- 2026-2.0pt5%
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+9.1pt63.2%
- ChatGPT-0.8pt19.8%
- Gemini6.6%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺522,1 Mn
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺137,8 Mn
- Anthropic market share this week
- Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
- Tencent market share this week
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- OpenAI market share this week
Sık sorulan sorular
- AI capability growth this year? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 11 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla At least 1520 score için 69% fiyatlıyor.
- AI capability growth this year? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- AI capability growth this year? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- AI capability growth this year? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If an AI model has a score of at least 1520 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.