Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 69%
Tahminciler
8
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
37 dakika önce güncellendi
28 Ağu 26 19:08 UTC30 Eyl 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
This Aug 2026 is the hottest August ever?
KalshiWill summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?
PolymarketWill summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?
PolymarketSeptember 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if September 2026 is declared the warmest September on record globally by the Copernicus Climate Change Service.
- The market resolves to YES if either of the following conditions are met:
- The Copernicus monthly climate bulletin for September 2026 states that September 2026 was the warmest September on record globally
- The global average surface air temperature for September 2026 in the ERA5 dataset exceeds 16.38°C, the record set in September 2023
- In the event of a tie, this market will resolve NO.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
Açık piyasalar
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+3.0pt32.7%
- 90° or above+12.0pt27.9%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt24%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺16,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺15,8 Mn
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+36.0pt99%
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
+19 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺15 Mn
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+48.0pt92.4%
- 94° or above-2.0pt3.8%
- 90° to 91°-37.0pt0.9%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+6.0pt48.1%
- 79° or below+40.0pt45.4%
- 82° to 83°-33.0pt3.7%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+62.0pt94.1%
- 28°C-14.5pt5%
- 29°C-5.6pt1%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIHighest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- 93° to 94°+45.0pt74.6%
- 95° to 96°-11.0pt18.4%
- 97° to 98°+1.0pt3.5%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
- Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- September 2026 the hottest ever? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 69% fiyatlıyor.
- September 2026 the hottest ever? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- September 2026 the hottest ever? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 30 Eylül 2026.
- September 2026 the hottest ever? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria
- September 2026 the hottest ever? başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Kalshi.