Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 89.8%
Tahminciler
20
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis14 Eki 26 10:30 UTC31 Eki 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by Dec 31? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsHouthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketIf Russia secures a substantively pro-Russian ceasefire agreement with Ukraine, what will be the causes? [add responses]
Manifold MarketsHouthi military action against Saudi Arabia on?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if an official de Jure AND de facto bilateral ceasefire agreement between Saudi Arabia (or the Saudi-led coalition) and the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah) is publicly announced before November 1, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- To resolve YES, the ceasefire agreement must be confirmed by official statements from both parties or by an official mediating body, such as the UN Special Envoy for Yemen or the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Oman.
- Unilateral announcements: A unilateral declaration of a ceasefire by either side without mutual agreement or acceptance by the opposing party does not qualify and will resolve NO.
- Localized or humanitarian truces: Informal, unconfirmed reports, or limited local pauses in fighting do not qualify unless formally framed as a bilateral ceasefire agreement by both entities.
- If no formal ceasefire agreement is reached before November 1, 2026, the market resolves NO.
