Russian attacks or invades Estonia by mid 2029 için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 2 Kasım 2026 itibarıyla No için 83.5% fiyatlıyor.

Russian attacks or invades Estonia by mid 2029 ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

Russian attacks or invades Estonia by mid 2029 için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 30 Haziran 2029.

Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: There have to be credible sources stating that there have been at least one of:

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1 Tem 26 06:03 UTC30 Haz 29 23:59 UTC

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There have to be credible sources stating that there have been at least one of:

battles between Russian military and defenders, in the target nation.
Russian troops clearly are on the other side of the border.
Even if the target country doesn't fight back, the presence of troops within their territory will treated as evidence for YES as an invasion
Russian attributed bombs or missiles or drone strikes being treated as an open war w/Russia
Other kinetic attacks.