Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiJ.D. Vance 43.4%-0.7pt6 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
25
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
10 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis18 May 26 11:08 UTC31 Tem 28 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurWho will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republican presidential candidate endorsed by Trump win the 2028 Republican primaries?
Manifold Markets2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the individual who officially secures the Republican Party nomination for President of the United States in the 2028 election.
- The winner will be determined by the official results of the 2028 Republican National Convention.
- The market will resolve to the candidate who receives the majority of delegate votes required for the nomination.
- If a candidate other than those listed becomes the nominee, the "Other" option will resolve to YES.
- If the 2028 Republican National Convention is cancelled or if the party fails to nominate a candidate, the market will resolve N/A.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Limitless üzerinde de mevcut — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · J.D. Vance 44%
- Manifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut — Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028? · JD Vance 44%
- PredictIt üzerinde de mevcut — Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · JD Vance 40%
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · J.D. Vance 44%
- Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut — 2028 Republican presidential nominee ·
