Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
11 Tem 2026 12:20 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel topluluk tahminiJ. D. Vance 83.5%21 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
59
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
16 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis10 Eki 23 15:0517 Haz 28 6:59
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Ron Desantis52%
Platformları karşılaştır· J. D. Vance
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiGenel en iyi%88 eşleşme · doğrulandı | Orta | 78% | — | ₺79,3 B | ₺7,7 Mn | 17 dakika önce | Aç → |
| Manifold MarketsBu sayfa | — | 84% | — | — | — | 16 gün önce |
Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1.0 pts1y
78%
-3.0pt70%
+2.0pt62%
+31 daha fazla sonuç
67 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim₺18,6 Mn
24s Hacim₺79,3 B
KALSHIKurallar
This market uses the new Unlinked Multiple Choice format.
- The probabilites of each answer are independent of the other answers.
- Individual answers can resolve early, while the market as a whole remains open.
- Any person who appears in Wikipedia's "major candidates" section, at any time, for the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries will resolve YES.
- The criteria here are:
- The candidates in this section have declared their candidacies and meet one or more of the following criteria: campaign has received substantial major media coverage; current or previous holder of significant elected office (president, vice president, governor, U.S. senator, U.S. representative); have been included in at least five national polls.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Hacim trendi
$269 Tem3g veri11 Tem
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This market uses the new Unlinked Multiple Choice format.
- The probabilites of each answer are independent of the other answers.
- Individual answers can resolve early, while the market as a whole remains open.
- Any person who appears in Wikipedia's "major candidates" section, at any time, for the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries will resolve YES.
- The criteria here are:
- The candidates in this section have declared their candidacies and meet one or more of the following criteria: campaign has received substantial major media coverage; current or previous holder of significant elected office (president, vice president, governor, U.S. senator, U.S. representative); have been included in at least five national polls.