Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiJ. D. Vance 83.5%20 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
59
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
15 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis10 Eki 23 15:05 UTC17 Haz 28 06:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom be the two frontrunners for the 2028 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
PredictItWill a woman win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
PredictItWho will run for the 2028 Republican nomination for the presidency? [Add Answers]
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurKurallar
This market uses the new Unlinked Multiple Choice format.
- The probabilites of each answer are independent of the other answers.
- Individual answers can resolve early, while the market as a whole remains open.
- Any person who appears in Wikipedia's "major candidates" section, at any time, for the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries will resolve YES.
- The criteria here are:
- The candidates in this section have declared their candidacies and meet one or more of the following criteria: campaign has received substantial major media coverage; current or previous holder of significant elected office (president, vice president, governor, U.S. senator, U.S. representative); have been included in at least five national polls.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
Açık piyasalar
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.6pt18%
- Gavin Newsom+0.1pt16%
- Jon Ossoff16%
+48 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺62,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺102,4 Mn
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-28.9pt53%
- Delcy Rodríguez+23.5pt39%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,5 Mr
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.3%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,8 Mr
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.4pt91%
- Republican Party-0.6pt9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺23 Mn
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep59.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.5pt9.1%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 20 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla J. D. Vance için 84% fiyatlıyor.
- Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 17 Haziran 2028.
- Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market uses the new Unlinked Multiple Choice format.
- Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Kalshi.