Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 82%
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Guncelligini yitirmis11 Haz 25 01:33 UTC31 Ara 27 23:59 UTC
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As of writing, there are nine sovereign nuclear states: USA, Russia, UK, France, China, India, Pakistan, North Korea, and Israel.
- Will there be a tenth by 31 Dec 2027, 23:59:59 UTC?
- Resolves YES if any sovereign state other than the above nine possess nuclear weapons before the above date.
- Otherwise, resolves NO.
- Nuclear weapons sharing agreements do not count.
- The state must have credible and independent capacity to launch nuclear strikes on other (e.g. neighboring) states to count.
Açık piyasalar
Middle East
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.9pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+20.0pt67.7%
- Tie-4.0pt19.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-15.0pt12.8%
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺84,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,9 Mn
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18-1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Sık sorulan sorular
- New sovereign nuclear state by EOY2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 82% fiyatlıyor.
- New sovereign nuclear state by EOY2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- New sovereign nuclear state by EOY2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2027.
- New sovereign nuclear state by EOY2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: As of writing, there are nine sovereign nuclear states: USA, Russia, UK, France, China, India, Pakistan, North Korea, and Israel.