[Metaculus] Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2050? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 26 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla No için 58.6% fiyatlıyor.

[Metaculus] Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2050? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?

Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2050?

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26 Eki 2026 06:44 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4

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Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2050?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/18545/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if, before January 1, 2050, reporting from credible sources indicates that a United States aircraft carrier has been sunk, destroyed, or damaged such that it must be decommissioned due to enemy military action.
This question pertains to the carrier vehicle (CVs) class, NOT helicopter carriers (such as LHD's).
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.