Markers for conscious AI #1: AI passes introspection on world-models test
Tokenizasyon / RWAYZOne-Off3y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
<2027 37.6%4 seçenek arasında lider
<2027 37.6%Tahminciler
11
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
11 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis2 Kas 24 15:07 UTC2 Oca 30 04:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
Resolves YES on the option that bounds the year this resolves in most tightly e.g. option 2 <2027 if this resolves yes in 2026.
- When will a model pass the below described test:
- When are model self-reports informative about sentience? Let's check with world-model reports
- If an LM could reliably report when it has a robust, causal world model for arbitrary games, this would be strong evidence that the LM can describe high-level properties of its own cognition.
- In particular, IF the LM accurately predicted itself having such world models while varying all of: game training data quantity in corpus, human vs model skill, the average human’s game competency, THEN we would have an existence proof that confounds of the type plaguing sentience reports (how humans talk about sentience, the fact that all humans have it, …) have been overcome in another domain.
- Details of the test:
