Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiWet weather // D wins by 0%-2% margin 15.6%12 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
2
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
12 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis25 Oca 26 02:13 UTC2 Kas 28 01:02 UTC
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PolymarketKurallar
This market asks two questions: What the Republican/Democrat margin of victory will be in the tipping point state for the 2028 US POTUS election, and whether the weather will be wet in the state on election day.
- The criteria for what counts as rainy weather will be:
- Look at the top 5 cities in the state by population
- Check if it precipitated in those cities according to the citywide weather icon for election day on Weather Underground
- Is the answer is "yes" for most of the people in those cities?
